Corona infections: will Germany soon break the 10,000 mark?

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The number of new infections with the corona virus continues to climb in Germany: The health authorities reported 7,830 new corona infections within one day – more than ever since the beginning of the pandemic. The previous day, the highest value to date was registered with 7334 new cases. In the past week, the RKI reported 4721 new infections on Saturday.

According to experts, the newly reported infections are an indication of how strong the virus was in society about a week ago because of the time between infection, test, result and report. This is why it takes some time before political measures can be reflected in the reporting figures.

The current values ​​are only partially comparable with those from spring, because significantly more tests are now being carried out – and thus more infections are being discovered. Nevertheless, according to virologists, the numbers are alarming, as the cases accumulate over a wide area in a very short time.

The number of cases has almost doubled since the beginning of October. The numbers show that the second wave has already started. Experts expect the spread of the virus to pick up speed again in autumn and winter. The President of the World Medical Association, Frank Ulrich Montgomery, told the Rheinische Post that he expected Germany to exceed the threshold of 10,000 cases per day in the coming week. The recently agreed restrictions should not change that. Since this will take effect in a few days at the earliest.

According to the RKI, at least 356 387 people in Germany have been proven to have been infected with the Sars-CoV-2 virus since the beginning of the Corona crisis. The number of deaths in connection with a corona infection was therefore 9767. That was 33 more than the previous day. The RKI estimates that there are around 290,000 recovered.

The number of reproductions, or R value for short, was 1.22 in Germany according to the RKI situation report on Friday. This means that an infected person infects around 1.2 other people on average. The R-value depicts the infection rate about one and a half weeks beforehand.

In addition, the RKI gives a so-called seven-day R in its current situation report. The value relates to a longer period and is therefore less subject to daily fluctuations. According to RKI estimates, this value was 1.30. It shows the infection process from eight to 16 days ago.

With material from the dpa.


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