High death tolls and the looming recession seem to agree with critics, but popular approval remains high.
The second wave. The Bogeyman many governments. In Sweden you obviously don’t have this concern. Chief epidemologist Anders Tegnell assumes that in Stockholm by the end of May, 40 percent of people against that virus will be immune (currently a good 30 percent).
“There will be a second wave in autumn. Sweden will have a high level of immunity and the number of cases is likely to remain relatively low, “Tegnell said on Friday of the Financial Times.
Sweden as an experiment
Sweden is with hisSpecial way“A regular on the Corona pages of the European media. While apparently quite Europe Closes shops, bars and schools Sweden on enlightenment and on the reason of the population. “We put a lot of responsibility in the hands of individuals,” said Tegnell in CNN-Interview. “So far it has worked well. We have a flat infection curve and our health system is not overloaded, even if it is a hard time. ”20 percent of the intensive care beds were always free.
If you want to meet a friend, you can, even in one restaurant. Anyone who has had to go to the hairdresser in the past few weeks made an appointment. Schools are only closed to those over the age of 16 (i.e. not requiring care), as are universities.
Only visits to retirement homes and events with more than 50 people are prohibited. People are required to keep their distance, to stay at home and to work there.
Success reports and horror reports Sweden take turns in European media. So you can read in one day that the path is successful because the number of reproductions has been below 1.0 for days.
At the same time, however, one must also read that the Death numbers continue steeply uphill – on Thursday the mark of 3,000 dead was exceeded.
It was “terrible,” said Tegnell. “The Death number is something that concerns us a lot. ”Opposite CNN gave the Chief epidemologist two reasons that the numbers are so much higher than in neighboring countries – like critics of the government keep mentioning. On the one hand it got in Sweden Overall, there were more infections, but on the other hand, they had not been able to adequately protect the old people’s homes.
Of 3,000 people, 90 percent are over 70, half of whom are infected in nursing homes, says Philipp Fink of the Friedrich Ebert Foundation (FES) in Stockholm.
The height Death number you have to analyze, of course. The well-known Swedish epidemiologist Johan Giesecke assumes that the neighbors will catch up next year – due to the lower immunity.
On many other levels you are in Sweden very successful, Tegnell always justifies himself calmly, prudently and convincingly in interviews. Being able to go to school and keep the job is very important for health, the doctor said this week on the “Daily Show” on US television.
Under intense criticism from several scientists, the health authority, with Anders Tegnell at the top, continued on its way. And is widely supported by the population. Around 70 percent of the Sweden stand behind the Crisis policy of their government. “Confidence in the prime minister and the health authority remains despite that Death numbers further up, ”says finch of the Friedrich Ebert KURIER Foundation.
The red-green minority government faced a highly polarized society before the Corona crisis. “Almost all of the policy was designed for it,” says finch. But that’s with hers Crisis policy almost gone. While the ruling Social Democrats were just behind the right-wing populist Sweden Democrats, they are now by far the most popular party. The rights have fallen sharply.
Economy hit hard
But despite the liberal Crisis policy also suffers in Sweden the economy massive. This is not surprising for an export-oriented country. By the end of the year, more than ten percent of the Sweden to be out of work, GDP will drop by around 9 percent. The government is currently helping with around 10 billion euros.
Sweden can experiment with the Special way Above all for one reason: because of the resilience of its health system and the trust of the population in it.
Role model or not? Tegnell remains relaxed: “The most important thing is that the strategy is adapted to how the respective country works.” Sweden used the tools it always uses, so it works reasonably well.