Tesla autopilot is set to drive safer than humans in 2021 – but Musk doesn’t take a bet

Tesla will have one million “robotaxis” on the roads in 15 months at the latest, announced CEO Elon Musk at the presentation of its own chip for autonomous driving (full self-driving or FSD for short) in April 2019. By this, he only meant electric cars with sufficient technical capabilities, not already their official approval, Musk later clarified – but even until the end of 2020 only a small number of hand-picked Tesla owners had the chance to use the autopilot system for (almost) autonomous driving in cities to test. With this in mind, Musk has now been challenged on Twitter – and was optimistic, but did not accept a bet.

Hacker suggests bet with Model 3

On New Year’s Eve,, a company owned by the well-known hacker Georg Hotz, which is itself working on an autonomy system, asked whether he wanted to bet $ 10,000 on Tesla reaching “Level 5” in the new year, i.e. completely autonomous driving. Two days later, Musk initially responded: The safety level of Tesla FSD will be above that of the average person at the wheel in 2021, and he was “confident” in this regard, he wrote in response. However, he could not say what the regulatory approval would be like.

Musk did not respond to the betting offer, but made it more specific: “We are buying a Model 3 with FSD. I’ll be careful as it drives me around for a month next January. No intervention – then you win, if any intervention is necessary for safety reasons or to achieve the goal, we win, ”Hotz probably wrote himself.

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There was no reaction from the Tesla boss to this specification in the following days, so that the bet is no longer likely to come about. Even so, the further development of the autopilot system should attract a lot of attention this year and beyond.

Tesla boss announces higher FSD price

Some beta testers in the USA have been using the latest FSD software from Tesla since mid-October, which, according to Musk, has been fundamentally reprogrammed as a 4D system. They report impressive performance on multi-lane urban roads, but they don’t always get through traffic without interference. The expansion of the US test to more participants announced by the CEO is still pending, and he promised to move to Canada at Christmas “very soon”. Europe should only follow after that – and as Musk has already announced, the FSD option will then be more expensive there too. In the US, Tesla raised the price by $ 2,000 to $ 10,000 shortly after the beta test began.


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