The age of diesel is over, says auto expert Dudenhöffer

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According to industry expert Ferdinand Dudenhöffer, diesel cars are now becoming obsolete in Europe. In the first nine months of this year, only 27.2 percent of all registrations in Western Europe were diesel cars – compared to 31 percent last year and even 58 percent in 2011.

Dudenhöffer shows this trend in a new study available to He expects that stricter EU CO2 targets and the ban on new cars with internal combustion engines in the UK will accelerate the slide by 2030. “It’s a quiet farewell, but a trend that can no longer be stopped: Europe is saying goodbye to diesel,” writes the auto expert. “The electrification of the powertrain is taking away the diesel customers.”

“With Europe, diesel is losing its only remaining market region”

Diesel has become expensive and its CO2 savings are no longer in keeping with the times. “His last bastion are the big SUVs, the large company cars and the tax advantages in Germany, for example,” says Dudenhöffer. In Germany, the market share of diesel cars among new registrations in the first three quarters of almost 30 percent is still above the Western European average, as is the case in France with 31 percent and in Italy with 34.6 percent. In Norway, however, it is only 10 percent, in the Netherlands 4.5 percent.

The tax advantages have kept diesel engines alive longer in many European countries. But in doing so, they may not have had the desired effect of a better CO2 balance. “Without the tax-privileged diesel, significantly fewer company cars than diesel would be motorized and thus also be ‘smaller'”, writes the auto expert. The diesel emits 174.4 grams of CO2 per kilometer per new car, while the gasoline engine emits just 152.8 g of CO2 per kilometer. The logic behind it: “Cheaper fuel whets the appetite for bigger cars.”

“With Europe, diesel is losing its only remaining market region. Diesel is becoming a commercial vehicle unit again, ”explains the professor. The cost of developing new diesel engines was hardly worthwhile. “There are much better alternatives than diesel for CO2 savings.”

dpa / cm


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